Market Update
August PPI data was released this morning, with both MoM Core and Headline readings coming in slightly above expectations, sparking a rally in rates and gold and likely confirming only 25bps of rate cuts next week. Equities are gaining following the data, with the SPY and QQQ both gaining by more than 0.50%. Crypto is mostly higher, with total crypto market cap gaining 1.13%. BTC -0.30% is trading just above $58k, while ETH -0.59% continues to underperform, showing slight declines and trading in the mid $2,300s. ETHBTC is trading near its early August lows at .04, approaching its lowest level since April 2021. Despite Ethereum’s weakness, PENDLE -3.17% has been one of the top gainers over the past 24 hours, increasing more than 8.5%.
Coinbase Releases Wrapped Bitcoin
Coinbase has launched cbBTC – Coinbase Wrapped Bitcoin – an ERC20 token backed 1:1 by Bitcoin and held by Coinbase. Bitcoin is the largest and most widely used digital asset and plays a vital role in onboarding users to the digital asset industry. With that said, a large portion of Bitcoin supply is held passively on the Bitcoin network, not generating any yield or other utility. With cbBTC, users can leverage their Bitcoin holdings across all the defi apps on Ethereum and Base, unlocking an enormous amount of liquidity and increasing utility for Bitcoin holders. cbBTC will be supported on Ethereum and Base, with plans to add additional chains. When users send Bitcoin from Coinbase to a Base or Ethereum address, the BTC will automatically be converted into cbBTC, and when cbBTC is sent to Coinbase addresses, it will automatically be converted to BTC. cbBTC will not have its own order book on Coinbase but will be tradable on decentralized exchanges.

Grayscale XRP Trust
Grayscale has launched its latest crypto investment trust, this time focusing on XRP -1.60% , the native token of the XRP Ledger (XRPL). Grayscale now has 23 crypto investment products, with 19 offering single-asset exposure. XRPL is a distributed peer-to-peer network developed by Ripple to facilitate efficient cross-border payments. XRPL offers cross-border payments that settle in 3-5 seconds and, to date, has facilitated over $50 billion in total transaction volume across 27 million transactions. They have a global FX market coverage of 90% across more than 80 markets. The trust is open to daily subscriptions from individual and institutional accredited investors. XRP -1.60% surged over 8% following the news but has since pared some of its gains, currently trading at $0.55.
Technical Strategy
Following two strong selloffs down to multi-month highs this Summer, the latest milder pullback could be giving some indication that a coming rally could be approaching. As seen on daily AVAX 14.11% charts below, the trend has been strongly negative in the current downtrend channel from mid-May peaks which has extended lower to intersect two prominent swing highs in the last few months. However, the pullback to lower lows has had a welcome reprieve as recent selling pressure has successfully held above early August lows. this could be the start of some base-building as AVAX has managed to advance over the last week and lies just below the key resistance area at $25.60. Given that cryptocurrencies could be nearing the end of their seasonal weakness into late September, it makes sense to give the area at $25.60 some close scrutiny for evidence of this being exceeded next month. Such a move should likely move quickly up to 32.50 and likely challenge $40 which approximated the mid-May peaks. Overall, while recent price action is not a complete “green light” it is somewhat constructive towards thinking a rally should be approaching.

Daily Important MetricsAll metrics as of 2024-09-12 15:10:59 All Funding rates are in bps Crypto Prices
All prices as of 2024-09-12 12:03:53 Exchange Traded Products (ETPs)
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