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Upticks
Overview
Upticks is a 100% technical analysis-derived list of stocks from within the ranks of the S&P 500, selected by Head of Technical Strategy Mark Newton. It represents the distillation of Newton's intermediate-term views on the market, incorporating a range of technical indicators including sentiment, seasonality, cycles, breadth, and much more. To learn more about technical analysis and Mark Newton’s approach, please click here.
Entry/Exit Prices: As with our other stock lists, Upticks does not provide advice regarding entry and exit points. However, it does provide Newton's views on support and resistance to help investors make their own decisions.
Key Information
Methodology
- Relative strength vs sector and index
- At/near 26-week and/or 52-week highs
- Positive momentum and/or Upward sloping moving averages on multiple timeframes
- Lack of DeMark exhaustion on daily, weekly, monthly and/or in combination based on TD Sequential and/or TD Combo indicators
- DeMark “TD 13 countdown Buys” utilizing TD Sequential and/or TD Combo indicators at/near lows on multiple timeframes
- Elliott-wave theory
- Lack of deterioration within its sector and at/near upper quartile of its annual range
- Above-average bullish bases for lengthy timeframes which might precede technical breakouts
- Short-term downtrends within existing intermediate-term uptrends which provide attractive risk/reward opportunities
- Leading stocks within sectors poised to benefit from cyclical upturns
FAQ
The FSI Sector Allocation list is updated during the first week of the month, though the precise day varies. Upticks is updated on an approximately monthly schedule. Core Stock Lists are updated at the discretion of the research team. Top Ideas and Bottom Ideas are updated approximately monthly.
Not at all. Many of our subscribers use the lists only as a source of ideas as they work to implement their own investment strategies.
As providers of investment research, Fundstrat Direct is regulatorily prohibited from providing investment advice such as what stocks to buy, at what price, and in what volumes. This would require a knowledge of the specifics of your financial situation.
The table below provides an easy way to compare and contrast each of the lists. For more information on a specific list, please click the menu to the left. In addition, each stock list includes a detailed introduction that includes a discussion of the methodologies and thinking behind the lists. Please note that some subscribers combine the ideas from multiple lists.
| Stock List | Compiled by | Components selected from | Time horizon | Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upticks | Mark Newton | Predominantly selected from within the S&P 500 | Intermediate - four to six weeks | 100% technical analysis (no examination of macroeconomics or stock fundamentals) |
| FSI Sector Allocation |
Tom Lee, Ken Xuan |
Sector ETF Allocation: S&P 500 Sector ETFS Tactical ETF Allocation: Fundstrat's ETF Universe |
Flexible – options for tactical or strategic approaches, or a combination of both | Starts with standard S&P 500 sector distribution, then adjusts weights/allocation based on sector ratings by Lee and Newton. Tactical allocations based on price trend, technical analysis, and other elements |
| Fundstrat Large-Cap Top Ideas |
Tom Lee, Ken Xuan, Mark Newton |
Top & Bottom ideas are selected from a large-cap investment universe built using Head of Research Tom Lee’s data-driven macroeconomic framework | One month or longer | Fundstrat's proprietary blend of top-down and bottom-up analysis |
| Fundstrat SMID-Cap Top Ideas |
Tom Lee, Ken Xuan, Mark Newton |
Top & Bottom ideas are selected from a SMID-cap investment universe built using Head of Research Tom Lee’s data-driven macroeconomic framework | One month or longer | Fundstrat's proprietary blend of top-down and bottom-up analysis |
The various stock lists can be used as a list of actionable ideas that complement and enhance your existing investment strategy. The lists are not a replacement for your existing strategy, because except for the FSI Sector Allocation strategy, they're not strategies at all.
Those with a long-term view might wish to view the lists as ideas and suggestions on how to fill strategic and tactical allocation buckets, whether by market cap, industry, or sector. These allocation strategies can be based on the FSI Sector Allocation strategy or individually through the study of the regular research published by Tom Lee and Mark Newton, for example.
The research team at Fundstrat Direct is long-term constructive on the entire U.S. economy. The challenge, of course, is to identify those areas that represent what our work suggests is the best risk-reward ratio. The simple answer to why a stock makes it to our list is that the team behind that list believes it is among the best in this respect at this time. A stock can remain favored and still be removed from the list if the team believes another name has come to offer superior risk-reward. For investors who have included a stock in their portfolio at least partly due to its appearance on one of our lists, we suggest that its removal from that list should be viewed as a reminder to review whether the reasons why they invested in that stock are still valid, and not necessarily as a sell order.
The time horizons of our stock lists are each longer than a single day. As such, day-to-day and minute-to-minute market movements between updates are considered aggregately rather than individually or at the moment. While some subscribers use our stock lists to help guide their day-trading activities, each of the lists is updated just once per period.
There are multiple ways to use the stock lists, and the most appropriate way will vary from investor to investor. We strongly suggest that the best way for any investor to determine how to use the list is to stay current on the research notes that we publish. They help an investor develop a personalized context through which to interpret the list. It's important to also note that while each of the lists reflects research-driven insights about which stocks are likely to offer the greatest risk-reward, risk is a function of probability rather than certainty.
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