First Word
First Word
Prediction markets see higher oil thru June = longer conflict. But we still see March as "up month"
NOTE: As part of our transition from FS Insight to Fundstrat Direct, my notes will transition from tom. lee@fsinsight. com to tom. lee@fundstratdirect. com. Please...
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First Word
In AI, investors rotating into "bullet makers" and not the "armies." Friday's Jan CPI, coupled with visible AI impact, could trigger market to rethink inflation.
The S&P 500 is up +1.2% YTD, but the seemingly positive gain masks turmoil happening within sectors and within investor sentiment. The two primary things...
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First Word
February 2026 Top Large Cap and SMID Cap Core Stock Ideas Market Update
PLEASE JOIN US TOMORROW AT 2PM ET FOR OUR MACRO UPDATE & TOP STOCK IDEAS WEBINAR REGISTER HERE. TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET...
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First Word
January 2026 Top Large Cap and SMID Cap Core Stock Ideas Market Update
PLEASE JOIN US TOMORROW AT 2PM ET FOR OUR MACRO UPDATE & TOP STOCK IDEAS WEBINAR REGISTER HERE. ________________________________________________ TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR...
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First Word
Decent incoming data today. Trump reveals the "Trump rule" and the template for a dovish Fed in 2026
Equities gained again on Tuesday, as S&P 500 posted 5 consecutive gains and taking year-to-date gains to 18%. We continue to expect a positive bias...
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First Word
Wall of worry keeps growing given $ORCL and Venezuela. But the risk/reward still positive into year-end.
Equity markets are churning so far in December and stocks seem to feel "heavy" (meaning, it takes a lot to make a stock rise, but...
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First Word
A "hawkish cut" is consensus for Wed FOMC, but this is also a "market clearing" event, hence, December rally still intact.
We still expect the S&P 500 to finish 2025 achieving new all-time highs, reaching 7,000-7,300. But the path seems labored, and in the first days...
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First Word
MARKETING DECK: Supercycles intact. Wall of worries growing. Risk/reward positive.
NOVEMBER: FUNDAMENTALS REMAIN INTACT = UP NOVEMBERSTOCKS UP 6 MONTHS IN A ROW = NOV UP3Q25 EPS: MARGINS EXPANDING = POSITIVEFUND MANAGER CHASEWALL OF WORRY:(I)...
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First Word
Some understandable "chop" ahead to digest +2% October gains. But we see multiple reasons for S&P 500 to gain in November.
The S&P 500 is on track to close up 2% for October. Looking back at the month, the Oct 10th swoon (-3%) triggered many to...
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First Word
Key takeaway Fed presser: inflation close to target but jobs is weak = dovish. Trump-Xi meeting is "12" on a scale of 1 to 10 = positive for stocks.
The S&P 500 closed essentially "flat" Wednesday after the Fed FOMC Oct rate decision. The cut of -25bp was expected, but Fed Chair Powell's comments...
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