Crypto Research
Crypto - Comments
Midterms Offer a Risk-Clearing Event With a D Sweep Mostly Priced, R Outperformance Offering Upside Optionality, and the QRA Likely the More Important Factor for Crypto
THOUGHTS ON TONIGHT’S ELECTION There is clearly a lot of nervousness around the midterms, particularly around the possibility that a Democratic sweep increases policy risk...
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Crypto - Comments
Despite Rising Fear, Near-Term Risk/Reward Is Getting More Attractive as Crypto Breadth Resets, Midterms Approach, the QRA Offers a Potential Catalyst, and BTC Nears Key 50W & 200D MAs
PORTFOLIOS Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 4.66% QQQ 2.02% PS: If you are enjoying our service and its evidence-based...
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Crypto - Comments
Binance Hack Puts >$3B of Assets at Risk, but No Meaningful Solvency Risk Is Expected, While the Market Absorption Test Begins and the Case for Non-Custodial Infrastructure Strengthens
BOTTOM LINE: This is likely the largest crypto hack on record, but the key distinction is that it does not currently appear to be a...
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Crypto - Comments
Credit Stress Continues to Build, but Several Catalysts Could Help Resolve the Growth Scare & Give Crypto a Boost, Plus a Big Week for Privacy-Adjacent Projects
PROGRAMMING NOTE: I will be out of the office next week. If there are any market emergencies I will do my best to provide some...
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Crypto - Comments
Rate Vol and Credit Finally Move in the Right Direction, Miners Look Like They Are Finding a Low, SOL May Have Cleared an Underappreciated Supply Overhang
PORTFOLIOS Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 4.66% SOL 2.18% SPCX -1.68% PS: If you are enjoying our service and its...
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Crypto - Comments
BTC Remains Resilient, AI Credit Stress Shows Early Signs of Stabilizing, Alt Froth Continues to Clear
TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 4.66% ETH 6.33% MSTR 3.79% CRWV -3.18% PS: If you are enjoying our service and its evidence-based approach, please leave us a positive 5-star...
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Crypto - Comments
Bad News Is Failing to Break BTC, AI Financing Concerns Ease, and I Think the Odds Favor a Move Higher
PORTFOLIOS Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 4.66% CRWV -3.18% MSTR 3.79% CYPH 10.77% PS: If you are enjoying our service and...
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Crypto - Comments
Remaining Patient Tactically, but BTC Strength Amid Today’s Chaos Was Notable, AI CapEx Stress Hits Miners
PORTFOLIOS Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Tickers in this video: BTC 4.66% MSTR 3.79% STRC 0.03% CRWV -3.18% PS: If you are enjoying our service and...
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Crypto - Comments
QRA on 11/4 Could Accelerate Operation Treasury Twist, MSCI Likely To Approve Anti-DAT Framework This Week, Watching STRC Volumes For Demand Into Ex-Dividend
PORTFOLIOS Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat Source: Bloomberg, Artemis, Fundstrat TICKERS IN THIS VIDEO: BTC 4.66% MSTR 3.79% STRC 0.03% QQQ 2.02% PS: If you are enjoying our service and...
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Crypto - Comments
Some More Thoughts on AI Breaking Crypto: The Memetic Risk Is Real, but I’m Skeptical Any Technical Risk Is Imminent
FRAMING THE RISKFirst off, the advances in mathematics coming out of the frontier labs have been remarkable. I would not be surprised if government-funded research...
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