Energy’s rally is getting too bullish to ignore

Near-term Equity trends are short-term bullish, and Tuesday’s minor pullback failed to cause technical deterioration that would suggest that this rally is coming to an end.  As discussed yesterday, daily momentum combined with near-term bullish technical trends still makes the case for a coming push back to new highs, though the rally has shown some interesting sector rotation in recent weeks that makes groups like Energy, Materials, and Consumer Staples a bit more actionable in the near-term until Technology can stabilize. At present, trends in both the US Dollar and Treasuries are negative (meaning rates can rise while the US Dollar falls), and I continue to believe February will prove volatile and choppy, albeit positive. Commodities should be favored for gains in the months ahead, along with Emerging markets, and Gold, Silver, and Copper have all begun to show evidence of bottoming out and turning back higher.  Similar to yesterday’s conclusion, it’s right to remain bullish, but increasingly more selective, and diversified around some of the other parts of the market which have begun to strengthen in recent weeks and months. 

As daily charts show below of $SPX, trends remain bullish but have flattened out a bit in the pace of upward momentum in recent months. 

Tuesday’s selloff had three characteristics that point to higher prices in the days ahead

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