Nov's PCE inflation release will highlight why 2023 is more opportunities, and less crisis. We see downside surprises to PCE inflation = less hawkish path forward for Fed

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule:

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Equities are struggling in December, capping what has proven to be a horrible year for equities. In our view, US core inflation has apexed (mid-2022) and now running at closer to 2%. But due to lags in how price-level series works (inflation is a price level), inflation will not be officially "2%" (year over year) until Sept 2023.

If inflation, on a forward basis, is runn...

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule:

SKIP MONDAY <– Christmas
SKIP TUESDAY
Wednesday
SKIP THURSDAY
Friday

Equities are struggling in December, capping what has proven to be a horrible year for equities. In our view, US core inflation has apexed (mid-2022) and now running at closer to 2%. But due to lags in how price-level series works (inflation is a price level), inflation will not be officially "2%" (year over year) until Sept 2023.

If inflation, on a forward basis, is runn...
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