Video: Macro Minute: The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed

In this Macro Minute video, Tom Lee looks at Nvidia (NVDA) stock analysis around its February 2025 earnings report, focusing on how the stock has traded into prior earnings dates over the past five years and what makes the current setup unusual. He reviews NVDA’s recent eight-week performance versus its historical pre-earnings pattern and compares this episode with trading behavior during the 2022 bear market. Lee also walks through how NVDA typically trades in the month after reporting, using a framework that links post-earnings moves to the stock’s performance in the weeks leading into results.

Beyond Nvidia, the video places this setup in the broader context of momentum stocks, recent pullbacks, and technical levels such as the 200-day moving average. Lee touches on macro cross-currents including tariff headlines, regional PMI data from Chicago and Dallas, upcoming releases like the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Conference Board Consumer Confidence, and the February 2025 core PCE inflation report. The full report and video (about six minutes) provide the complete analysis, historical charts, and Lee’s interpretation of how NVDA earnings and key data later in the week could intersect with overall market conditions.

In this Macro Minute video, Tom Lee looks at Nvidia (NVDA) stock analysis around its February 2025 earnings report, focusing on how the stock has traded into prior earnings dates over the past five years and what makes the current setup unusual. He reviews NVDA’s recent eight-week performance versus its historical pre-earnings pattern and compares this episode with trading behavior during the 2022 bear market. Lee also walks through how NVDA typically trades in the month after reporting, using a framework that links post-earnings moves to the stock’s performance in the weeks leading into results.

Beyond Nvidia, the video places this setup in the broader context of momentum stocks, recent pullbacks, and technical levels such as the 200-day moving average. Lee touches on macro cross-currents including tariff headlines, regional PMI data from Chicago and Dallas, upcoming releases like the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Conference Board Consumer Confidence, and the February 2025 core PCE inflation report. The full report and video (about six minutes) provide the complete analysis, historical charts, and Lee’s interpretation of how NVDA earnings and key data later in the week could intersect with overall market conditions.

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