Daily Technical Strategy
Turnaround Tuesday sets the stage for upside follow-through if NVDA's earnings don't disappoint
US INDICES FINISHED HIGHER AND UP OFF THE LOWS FROM THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH I VIEW AS CONSTRUCTIVE HEADING INTO NVDA 2.23% 'S EARNINGS ON WEDNESDAY. LONG-TERM BOND...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 3 important clearing events this week, setting the stage for upside breakout in equities. ETH +54% and just posted 30% weekly gain, largest since May 2025 and Nov 2021, both of which led to >167% subsequent gains.
VIDEO_:_ There are 3 important clearing events this week, setting the stage for S&P 500 to reach 7,900-8,000 by month end. Moreover, leadership since June...
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Crypto - Comments
Treasury Leans Further Into YCC-Lite, MSTR Builds a $1.6B “Plunge Protection” Reserve, Post-Squeeze Flows Continue to Improve
TREASURY CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD MORE ACTIVIST DURATION MANAGEMENT Treasury continues moving in the direction of more activist duration management. Last week, Treasury increased the size...
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Daily Technical Strategy
This is what's needed to have confidence in Semiconductor strength and NVDA after recent weakness
NEAR-TERM EQUITY TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW A MILD CONSOLIDATION FOLLOWING THE BREAKOUT FROM LATE JULY, BUT MONDAY'S FRACTIONAL WEAKNESS SHOULDN'T BE SEEN AS ANYTHING MEANINGFUL...
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Signal From Noise
Soft Power, Hard Returns
This July, the Pew Research Center reported a startling finding: in a poll of roughly 42,000 people in 36 countries, China is now viewed more...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Materials sector in focus following Treasury-fueled surge back to new all-time highs
THE BIG TAKEAWAY FOR THIS WEEK CENTERED AROUND THE TREASURY DEPARTMENT'S DOUBLING OF ITS BUYBACK PROGRAM, WHICH HELPED TO JUICE CRYPTOCURRENCIES, METALS AND MINING STOCKS,...
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First Word
The AI downstream trade continues to strengthen, particularly crypto. We look at equities most highly correlated to ETH and BTC. We also still expect S&P 500 7,900-8,000 by month-end
VIDEO_:_ The AI bottleneck story is stalling as data center opposition is now resonating with voters. This probably explains why crypto, particularly Ethereum, has been...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The AI downstream trade continues to strengthen, particularly crypto. We look at equities most highly correlated to ETH and BTC. We also still expect S&P 500 7,900-8,000 by month-end
VIDEO_:_ The AI bottleneck story is stalling as data center opposition is now resonating with voters. This probably explains why crypto, particularly Ethereum, has been...
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Daily Technical Strategy
SPX's pullback into the June peaks above 7600 is an attractive area to buy dips
NEAR-TERM EQUITY TRENDS HAVE NOW UNDERGONE NEARLY FIVE DAYS OF CONSOLIDATION, AND THIS REMAINS A SHORT-TERM TECHNICAL PULLBACK VS. THE START OF ANYTHING LARGER FOR...
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Crypto - Comments
Treasury Doubles Down on YCC-Lite Signal, Spot Flows Appear to Be Supporting the Rally Post-Squeeze, SOL Has an Overlooked Weekend Catalyst
TREASURY DOUBLES DOWN ON YESTERDAY’S SIGNAL Crypto continued to rally today despite a more challenging backdrop across traditional markets. Equities traded lower and yields retraced...
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