US underperformance could persist into December

The near-term uptrend remains intact, and despite some sluggishness this entire week in following through, it’s still highly likely that SPX pushes up to 4120 area before any meaningful snapback gets underway.  Friday gave a glimpse of what could be an ongoing problem for markets over the final six weeks of the year.  Namely, that Technology has hit meaningful upside resistance, and this might not break out anytime soon if Treasury yields start to turn higher in more aggressive fashion into December.  This Tech stallout along with the falling US Dollar has hurt US performance vs that of Europe, Latin America and Asia lately, and this very well could persist a bit longer into December before getting back on track.  Overall, it remains important to pay very close attention to Treasury yields as both yields and the US Dollar look to be stabilizing and if both begin to rally sharply, this would represent a meaningful headwind to US stock gains.  At present, gains remain likely up to SPX-4120 into early December before a stallout.

European outperformance over US should persist into December

checkout-thomas-lee image
checkout-logo image

Become a Member To Access Fundstrat Research

Fundstrat Direct gives individual investors access to Tom Lee's research, previously only available to banks and hedge funds.

Monthly

$199/mo

First Month Free

Join Now

Annual

-15% $2,028/yr

List Price $2,388

Savings: $360/yr

Join Now

Why Join Fundstrat Direct?

Fundstrat Direct helps you invest confidently with the same research banks and hedge funds use to navigate the market.

Daily Strategy Icon

Daily Strategy from Tom Lee & Team

Stay ahead of consensus with daily updates on key developments & catalysts and opportunities ahead.

Real-Time Market Alerts Icon

Real-Time Market Alerts

Analysis on market-moving events and actionable opportunities delivered instantly from us to you.

Curated Stock Lists Icon

Curated Stock Lists

Choose the portfolio that best suits your investment style, preferred asset class, and time horizon.

Monthly Market Update & Top Ideas Webinar Icon

Monthly Market Update & Top Ideas Webinar

Attend engaging webinars with Tom & team featuring our top ideas and near-term market outlook.

Daily Technical Strategy Icon

Daily Technical Strategy

Receive tactical opportunities, actionable signals, and fundamental analysis from our proven research team.

Live Analysis on Your Holdings Icon

Live Analysis on Your Holdings

A monthly webinar featuring live analysis on member-submitted stocks and questions.

Disclosures (show)

Events

Trending tickers in our research