Can NVDA help bail out Technology?

Equity trends from August remain bullish but yet remain lower than recent peaks from mid-November on 11/11/24. Tuesday’s stabilization is suggestive of a bounce in US Equities between now and next week’s Thanksgiving holiday.  Treasuries also seem to be turning higher, and it’s thought that both Treasury Yields and the US Dollar might retreat into December following the unraveling of the so-called “Trump trade”. All eyes are on NVDA’s earnings Wednesday as a possible catalyst for Technology, and it seems important that NVDA, along with former leaders like AAPL, help Technology begin to strengthen after several choppy months. Importantly, given the shape of the decline from 11/11 peaks, there stands an above-average chance that gains into next week might still give way to weakness into the first week of December before any meaningful low is at hand. 

Overall, I’m encouraged by Tuesday’s brief dip to new weekly lows before the strong recovery, which was seen by DJIA, S&P Futures, and NASDAQ Composite.  This suggests that a short-term low is likely in place.

Elliott-wave theory combined with technical support based on the structural pattern of the most recent rally both argue for a likely bounce.   However, this remains a choppy period for Equities given the breadth deterioration of late, and one cannot yet say with confidence, given Tuesday’s early pullback, that a move to new highs is imminent.

checkout-thomas-lee image
checkout-logo image

Become a Member To Access Fundstrat Research

Fundstrat Direct gives individual investors access to Tom Lee's research, previously only available to banks and hedge funds.

Monthly

$199/mo

First Month Free

Join Now

Annual

-15% $2,028/yr

List Price $2,388

Savings: $360/yr

Join Now

Why Join Fundstrat Direct?

Fundstrat Direct helps you invest confidently with the same research banks and hedge funds use to navigate the market.

Daily Strategy Icon

Daily Strategy from Tom Lee & Team

Stay ahead of consensus with daily updates on key developments & catalysts and opportunities ahead.

Real-Time Market Alerts Icon

Real-Time Market Alerts

Analysis on market-moving events and actionable opportunities delivered instantly from us to you.

Curated Stock Lists Icon

Curated Stock Lists

Choose the portfolio that best suits your investment style, preferred asset class, and time horizon.

Monthly Market Update & Top Ideas Webinar Icon

Monthly Market Update & Top Ideas Webinar

Attend engaging webinars with Tom & team featuring our top ideas and near-term market outlook.

Daily Technical Strategy Icon

Daily Technical Strategy

Receive tactical opportunities, actionable signals, and fundamental analysis from our proven research team.

Live Analysis on Your Holdings Icon

Live Analysis on Your Holdings

A monthly webinar featuring live analysis on member-submitted stocks and questions.

Disclosures (show)

Events

Trending tickers in our research