NVDA likely to trade higher into mid-to-late March initially

Recent selling pressure could be nearly complete after having pulled back to test early February lows.  Short-term momentum has gotten oversold, and many key large-cap Tech stocks look to be in/near support. Furthermore, Treasury yields and the US Dollar have been breaking down sharply and I don’t see the correlation between Treasuries and Equities reversing anytime soon. Moreover, sentiment has continued to grow more and more negative, given the constant rhetoric regarding tariff uncertainty, and the larger intermediate-term uptrends for SPX remain very much intact. While I view a technical violation of February lows as about a 50%/50% chance, given that momentum has been so strongly negative over the last four days, I feel it’s right to position long and simply expect that any further selling won’t prove too severe for the last few days of February before beginning a sharp rally up into March. Overall, I suspect that NVDA’s earnings very well could prove to be a positive catalyst for Technology and Equity indices after this sharp near-term downturn. 

SPX lows could be near based on the following reasons:

-Selling pressure looks to be abating as Tuesday’s market breadth was positive with nearly a 3/2 lead in Advancing vs. Declining stocks on the NYSE. Six of the major Equal-weighted sectors within SPX (out of 11) closed positive on Tuesday.

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