Gold & Silver back at new all-time highs and Materials outperforming

Near-term Equity trends are bullish, but despite last week’s breakout in QQQ, this week has kicked off with a much better day of performance out of Small-caps following IWM’s seventh straight day of gains.   Interestingly enough, U.S. equity markets have shown more strength out of sectors like Materials, Industrials, Energy, and both Consumer Discretionary and Consumer Staples sectors compared to Technology.   Equal-weighted SPX has been outperforming SPX since November while European Equities have also been outperforming SPX over that same time period.  It’s expected that Technology should begin a larger near-term period of relative strength over the next month, but for now, the Magnificent 7 is largely range-bound, making it necessary to find areas outside of Large-cap Technology to deliver strength in the short run.   Meanwhile, outside of Equities, Precious metals continue to show stellar signs of strength, and both Gold and Silver have pushed back to new all-time high territory. Overall, a broad-based bounce is continuing in the US Equity markets, and stocks technically remain in a sweet spot to show outperformance into February. 

As discussed above, $SPX has managed to push higher back to new all-time highs despite Technology largely showing in-line performance.

I feel that Monday’s gains likely lead SPX up to 7050 without too much difficulty initially.  This would result in the rally off the 1/2/26 lows to equal, in price points gained, the rally from mid-December from 12/17/26. However, the push higher in US Equities continues to be viewed as a stair-stepping process, vs. a linear push higher without interruption.   Much of this stems from the lackluster performance of many Software names, along with the necessity of the “Magnificent 7” to begin to demonstrate more strength.

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