Copper, Gold likely to stabilize & bounce; Big-Cap Tech turning higher

Near-term Equity trends are short-term bullish, and it’s likely that SPX, QQQ, and DJIA all move back to new All-time highs by the end of this week.  Industrials and Consumer Staples ETFS both pushed back to new highs on Monday, while several other sectors made multi-day highs, which was convincing that trends are likely to trend up in the near-term. However, I am not expecting that February will be an easy month, and should still be marked by choppy, volatile trading, which could reward traders more so than investors.  Trends in Treasury yields and DXY have trended higher in recent days, though DXY looks close to resuming its downtrend.  As for the Metals, the severe downside volatility looks to be trying to stabilize, and I favor oversold bounces in Gold, Silver, and Copper in the weeks ahead. Overall, with regards to risk assets, it’s right to remain bullish, but increasingly more selective, and I feel like bounces in Software and Semiconductor stocks over the next couple of weeks might provide an opportunity to consider diversification out of these groups for those who have a 3-5 month time horizon.

Last week’s thought process is largely unchanged as this first week of February gets underway.  Despite some of the choppiness in the broader market, trends are likely to push even higher over the next week, and it remains too early to expect any meaningful market peak.  Financials, Industrials, Healthcare, and Discretionary should begin to stabilize and push higher. 

Furthermore, the strength in “Mag 7” has gradually begun to return, and the stabilization and rally off the lows in both $NVDA and $AAPL today is quite positive for large-cap Technology in the short run.  In other parts of Technology, many Semiconductor and Semi-cap, and Memory stocks began turning higher again today, and this looks like a short-term boost back to new highs for many.  However, the degree of overbought conditions within many Semiconductor names should reward those who consider profit-taking in Semiconductors by mid-month.  Meanwhile, Software remains a difficult area within Technology but looks close to trying to bottom on an absolute basis, and that arguably should happen sometime this week. 

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