Midterm Election: What Next?

In this post-midterms report, Thomas Block examines the political implications of the November 2026 U.S. midterm elections and what the new balance of power in Washington could mean for policy-making. He reviews how pre-election polling on a potential Democratic "blue wave" compared with the actual outcome and outlines the immediate legislative calendar facing the outgoing Republican-controlled Congress before the new Congress is sworn in on January 3, 2027.

Block focuses on key near-term decisions around the December 11, 2026 expiration of the current Continuing Resolution (CR), including the choices between another stopgap funding bill and a full-year budget. He then analyzes how larger Democratic majorities in the House and Senate may shape the legislative process, given Senate filibuster and veto dynamics, and what this new landscape could mean for President Donald Trump’s ability and incentive to work with Democratic leaders. The full report details potential areas of negotiation, institutional constraints, and how this transition period may set the tone for federal policy debates heading into 2027.

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