Stocks up 65% of the past 20 trading days, highest since Nov 2021, and a reason it is starting to "feel like a bull market." We expect 1Q23 EPS to exceed expectations, likely 2H23 trough in EPS = supporting strengthening breadth.

The S&P 500 is up 8% YTD (~+20% in the past 6 months) and at this pace, is annualizing returns of ~30% -- that is not our forecast. And as we highlighted earlier this year, the "rule of 1st 5 days" (neg prior year and >1.4% gain in 1st 5 days) implies ~20% gain for 2023.

But despite these fairly impressive gains, this does not "feel" like a bull market for investors. There are several reasons for this including (but not all): (i) Fed is tightening and has stated that it intends t...

The S&P 500 is up 8% YTD (~+20% in the past 6 months) and at this pace, is annualizing returns of ~30% -- that is not our forecast. And as we highlighted earlier this year, the "rule of 1st 5 days" (neg prior year and >1.4% gain in 1st 5 days) implies ~20% gain for 2023.

But despite these fairly impressive gains, this does not "feel" like a bull market for investors. There are several reasons for this including (but not all): (i) Fed is tightening and has stated that it intends t...
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